It’s a recent News that Donald Trump is the only American Republican candidate after the electoral success in Indiana. Two days ago, Trump obtained another overpowering victory over his challengers, Cruz and Kasich, who decided to retire their candidatures. Now, there is a lively discussion within the Republican party, because of the Trump’s personality, which during the entire electoral campaign has often showed an uncorrect behaviour. In fact, an excellent Republican member as a Mitt Romney announced that He won’t go to the party convention. For this reason, the Trump’s figure seem could be very dangerous for the futures American foreign relations, if He had to win the next presidential election there could be important effects.
1. Trump endorsements from European Politicians
From this point of view Trump’s political style found many supporters on the other Atlantic side. In fact, the themes which were put by Trump have found different endorsements from some European politicians. Often, these latters have used the Trump’s popularity for strenghtening the same topics into their domestic politics. For example, the last week, Trump met the Italian Lega Nord (Northern League) Leader, Matteo Salvini, who shares the same Trump’s positions about Muslims and immigration. Both politicians have wished each other to reach their own aims. For the same reason, It’s possible fear that other similar parties like the Northern League could support Trump and his policies. In fact, too Nigel Farange (UKIP) Has Showed his closeness to the American Taycoon, during the Brexit debate in Great Britain, on which Trump affirmed his consensus. Hence, If Trump Became President, Should We to expect closer relations between these politicians who share the same view on some topics?
2. Trump’s chances after last primary election
His last great performance, in Indiana, allowed to Trump of beating his main challengers, who had the only option to declare the suspension of their campaign. Whether, at the beginning, Trump was considered a possible surprise, now He is a certainty. Although, He remains the only Republican candidate, It’s possible to think that the Republican Convention could give some unexpected news. However, already during the campaign, when Trump had obtained the first victories, within the Republican party was born the question about the Trump’s suspension as republican candidate. In that case, the Tycoon affirmed his will to continue the campaign as an independent candidate. For this reason, If during the Republican convention there was some surprises, Trump could decide to confirm his run for the presidency, thanks to the popular legitimacy that has been expressed during this primary election.
3. How might change the USA and EU relations If Trump Became President?
Regarding what could be the possible effects on the American relations and the same European politics if Trump Became the next American president, It’s possible to provide the opinion of an important Italian journalist, specialised on the American politics, Francesco Costa, Who writes for the Journal “Il Post” (The Post). According to him the relations between USA and European partners could be jeopardized by the possible Trump presidency. In fact, Trump would be against commercial agreements such as the TTIP and most of European countries could not contract such agreement with him, who is absolutely contrary, because of his protectionist and isolationist economical view. However, Francesco Costa asserts that the Trump’s aggressive tones Would not be as much aggressive about the American foreign politics, but could have negative implications on the commercial relationships. At the question if the Trump’s rhetoric could influence the European anti-politics parties, by giving them more legitimacy, He affirmed to be sceptic about these contagions, for example, in Europe, “after the Obama’s elections there was not the Progressive expected reaction”. The reason of the increasing European Anti-politics have to be considered only a specific European particularity. Finally, the question: Trump, during the campaign, has launched several attacks on immigrants, announcing policies to tackle immigration. Do you think that this type of approach can also find consensus in Europe, given also the difficulty of resolving this emergency in the continent and the recent raised walls along the borders of several countries of Europe? He said that this approach had success before that Trump had used it.